Cancer Set To Rise: 15 Million People To Need Chemotherapy By 2040, Estimates The Lancet Study

The Logical Indian Crew India

May 15th, 2019 / 5:07 PM

Fifteen Million Cancer Patients By 2040

Image Credit: NDTV, Flixcart

 

Globally, over 1.5 crore people will need first-course chemotherapy each year by 2040, estimates a study produced by The Lancet Oncology journal. The Lancet study states that the number of patients needing chemotherapy may increase by 53 per cent from 9.8 million in 2018 to 15 million in 2040. 

The study – first of its kind – estimates the scale of chemotherapy provision needed to respond to increasing cancer patients at national, regional and global scales.

The number of cases, specifically in low and middle-income countries are expected to rise from 63 per cent in 2018 to 67 per cent in 2040.

The most common indications for chemotherapy worldwide in 2040 will be lung cancer (16·4%), breast cancer (12·7%), and colorectal cancer (11·1%).

With the increasing rate of patients every year, the report estimated that cancer physician required to deliver optimal therapy will increase to 1 lakh by 2040. In 2018, 65,000 cancer physicians were required for a chemotherapy patient.

The study was conducted by researchers at University of New South Wales (UNSW) in Sydney, Ingham Institute for Applied Medical Research, Kinghorn Cancer Centre, Liverpool Cancer Therapy Centre in Australia and International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon.



How Does India Fare?

In India, approximately 670,000 new cases of patients requiring chemotherapy were reported in 2018.

“By 2040, we estimate over 1.1 million new cases per year needing chemotherapy, and demand may be as high as 1.2-1.5 million if we account for more advanced stages of disease at presentation as compared to US and Australia data,” said Dr Brooke Wilson, co-author of the study, to Health Issues India.

The study points out that about 47 per cent of 15 million people diagnosed with cancer will reside in China (35%) and South Asia (12%) by 2040.

According to the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), 7.84 lakh men and women died due to cancer in 2018. And there is a high probability that about 9.81 per cent of men and 9.42 per cent of women are at risk of developing cancer before reaching 75 years of age.


Why are Indians prone to Cancer?

Apart from access to health care, lack of awareness is one of the major problems that lead to a dip in survival rates in India. In diseases such as cancer, early diagnosis is a critical factor in the treatment.

Talking to Live Mint, P.K. Jhulka, senior director of the Max Institute of Cancer Care said, “The major problem in our country is late diagnosis. Most patients come to us in the third or fourth stage, which further increases the disease intensity and burden. The regional centres cater to a limited population.”

Another factor that increases the chances of cancer is obesity. Recent studies have found out that obesity is linked with higher chances of cancer of various organs, including oesophagus, gastric cardia, thyroid, pancreas, colon, rectum, endometrium, prostate, gallbladder, ovary, and breast, as per Down To Earth.


Contributors

Written by : Satendra

Edited by : Shweta Kothari

Related Stories

Cancer Survivor Bold Indian Bride

Bold Indian Bride: Cancer Survivor’s Delightful Photoshoot Is Giving Cancer Patients Hope

Mumbai Airport 2040

India To Have Around 200 Operational Airports By 2040; 3 Each In Delhi & Mumbai

California Court Orders Monsanto To Compensate $289 Million Dollars Deewayne Johnson Cancer

Monsanto Asked To Compensate $289 Million To Man Who Got Cancer From Using Their Weedkiller

India No Longer The Largest No Of Poor Study

India’s Extreme Poor Decrease From 125 Million In 2016 To 73 Million People In 2018: Study

2.39 Lakh Girls Under The Age Of Five Die Every Year In India Due To Gender Bias: Lancet Study

Maharashtra Government To Set Up Free Chemotherapy Centres In 10 District Hospitals

Latest on The Logical Indian

Exclusive

Bihar Flood: This Group Of Student Volunteers Are Extending Help Flood Victims

Get Inspired

#SareeTwitter: Saree As A Tool Of Revolution, Power & Politics

Awareness

Community-Based Care Improves Lives Of Rural Elderly

Awareness

How The Legacy Of A Colonial Hunter Has Inspired Conservation Efforts In The Forests Of South India

Get Inspired

#SareeTwitter: Saree As A Tool Of Revolution, Power & Politics

News

In A Peculiar Bid To Combat Water Crisis, UP Assembly Adopts Half Glass Water Policy

x

Stories that deserve attention, delivered to your inbox!

Handpicked, newsworthy stories which deserve the attention of a rational generation.